Republican nominee Donald Trump up with a 4% lead in Arizona (with 4.12% MOE). Senator McCain is up 10% and Prop 205 (marijuana legalization) is down by 6%. 
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Contact: George Khalaf
New Arizona Poll:
Trump Up 4%, McCain up 10%, and Marijuana Down By 6%

(Phoenix, AZ) – A recent poll commissioned by Data Orbital for the upcoming general election showed Republican nominee Donald Trump up 4% in this newest tracking poll. 

Data Orbital, a Phoenix based consulting firm, announced today the results of their most recent poll conducted October 29th-30th of likely general election voters in Arizona. The poll results had Trump up 4% over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, the largest lead he has garnered in weeks. One week out from election day, undecideds are hovering around 6%, only 3% are pledged to Libertarian Gary Johnson, and 1% supporting green party candidate Jill Stein.

The survey's head to head results are below:

Trump 45%
Clinton 41%
Johnson 3%
Stein 1%
Other 2%
Undecided 6%

The poll also showed Senator John McCain ahead with a 10% lead over Representative Ann Kirkpatrick.
McCain          50%
Kirkpatrick       40%
Undecided      8%

Prop 205, Arizona's marijuana legalization initiative, is still well below 50%, as it has been since early October when voter education started in earnest. With only one week to go, there are very few voters left undecided on this issue.
Yes 45%
No 51%
Undecided 4%

George Khalaf, consultant and pollster, issued the following statement: “The media coverage of the FBI's decision to reopen the case against Hillary during the middle of early voting, absolutely will have an effect in Arizona. Clinton, Trump, Romney, and Kaine will all be here this week to try and turn out voters, because for once, all eyes are on this traditionally Republican state. Senator McCain will come to an easy victory and if current trends hold with Republican turnout similar to previous cycles, there is a good likelihood that Prop 205 will lose and that Arizona will elect another Republican nominee for President.”


This live poll of 550 likely general election voters in Arizona has a margin of error at plus or minus 4.12 percent, with a 95 percent confidence interval. Respondents were weighted on a number of different demographic figures based off previous voter turnout and responses were 50/50 cell phones and landlines. Toplines and demographic data can be found here.

Copyright © 2016 Data Orbital Consulting LLC, All rights reserved.

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