CNYCA’S COVID-19 Economic Update:
The COVID-19 dark economic winter is fast approaching
COVID-19 Economic Update is a bi-weekly column prepared by economist James Parrott of the Center for New York City Affairs (CNYCA) at The New School, whose research is supported by the Consortium for Worker Education and the 21st Century ILGWU Heritage Fund. Read past installments here.
Like the second wave surge in new cases, the near-term economic outlook is not bright. We’ve seen the employment rebound slow to a crawl in recent months, leaving us well short of pre-pandemic levels. The latest New York City jobs data for October show that we’ve recouped only 41 percent of the jobs lost between February and April. Things are not much better at the national level where 63 percent jobs have returned, but still leaving the nation short 7.6 million jobs.
And since many businesses are calling back workers only part-time given slack business conditions, the employment numbers are less than they first appear. Nearly a quarter of New York State workers receiving state unemployment benefits in October were working part-time.
The November jobs data for NYC will not be released until December 17, but they’re not likely to be that encouraging. Revenues received by small businesses tell a sobering story about a faltering economy. Data (shown below) compiled by Womply and made available through the Opportunity Insights website show that small business revenues hovered around 40 percent down vs. January from July through early October in the New York City metro area, have since started to decline again. As of mid-November, the shortfall compared to January was 51 percent.
The downward trends since early October depicted in the chart above don’t augur well for job gains for either New York City or the nation. Compounding this problematic outlook of course is the worrisome trend in new Covid-19 cases. The chart below shows the steep ascent in case levels since early October. The charts above and below suggest a Covid-19 dark economic winter is well underway.
The Covid-19 Economic Recovery Project at the Center for New York City Affairs will release three reports before the holidays, starting with one later this week on the need for New York State to reform its partial unemployment insurance program. The other reports include one on the retail sector and a quarterly report that seeks to make sense of the full range of Covid-19 related economic data. These reports will be available here.
NYC Inclusive Growth Initiative: Applications Due December 11 + Help Us Recruit Emerging Leaders
The NYC Inclusive Growth Initiative - a partnership between NYCETC, ANHD and RPA - is seeking applications for its 15-person steering committee, which will develop a community-centric agenda for inclusive economic growth across New York City that adds good jobs, retains and expands affordable housing, and drives the economy forward while reducing structural inequities and increasing access to opportunity. Applications are due December 11.
Support with Recruitment Outreach to Your Network: We ask for your support in spreading the word to your community and network about the NYCIGI application and broader initiative. We are looking to recruit a highly diverse set of individuals from many sectors and communities across the city, and aim for this steering committee to be fully representative of the diversity of New York City in terms of race, ethnicity, gender, sexuality, immigration history and status, disability, income status, thought and issue area expertise. Spread the word to your networks using sample email and social media outreach language and images here.
This agenda will proactively connect critical issue areas that are often disregarded in economic development decisions such as racial and social justice, climate and sustainability, transportation, poverty, gender and sexuality, immigration, and disabilities and accessibilities. Reach out to Annie Garneva with any questions at firstname.lastname@example.org.
NYCETC Accepting Applications for Board of Directors
The NYCETC Board of Directors is seeking interested individuals for a number of open Board of Directors seats to commence a two year term beginning with the first meeting in February 2021. Nominations will be accepted until December 16, 2020 at 5 pm. Nominations are encouraged; however, self-nominations are welcome and accepted. To submit a nomination and/or application, interested individuals should complete the 2021 NYCETC Board of Directors Application.
The Board of Directors is comprised of up to 30 individuals, each meeting the following criteria set out in the NYCETC by-laws:
Each Director must be at least 18 years old and must occupy “a senior policy-making position with the General Member organization of which such Director is representative."
Prospective Board members must be able to serve at least one two-year term and help NYCETC raise revenue via annual individual contributions and sponsorship of major events.
Board members are expected to attend 4-5 Board meetings on Mondays from 3:30 to 5:30 pm and serve on one or more committees. Current committees are Fundraising, Innovation, Policy and Advocacy, and Programs and Events.
NYC Council Hearings in December incl. Oversight Hearing on Workforce Development and Combating Unemployment
Below are highlighted City Council hearings taking place in the coming weeks that are relevant to the workforce community. Most importantly, the Committees on Economic Development and Small Businesses are holding an Oversight Hearing on Workforce Development and Combating Unemployment on Wednesday, December 9. NYCETC will be testifying at this hearing and is looking for members and partners to testify alongside us on the critical role of workforce development programs and organizations in the COVID recovery. Please contact email@example.com if your organization plans on testifying.
If you would like to sign up to testify via phone or Zoom, you must submit your name at least 24 hours in advance. Written testimony may be submitted through the same link up to 72 hours after a hearing has been adjourned. For more, see the full calendar of hearings.
December 4 @ 10 am - Committee on Hospitals (details)
Oversight - COVID-19 Vaccine
December 9 @ 10 am - Committees on Economic Development and Small Business (details)
Oversight - Workforce Development and Combating Unemployment
Note: NYCETC will be testifying at this hearing and is looking for members and partners to testify alongside us on the critical role of workforce development programs and organizations in the COVID recovery. Please contact firstname.lastname@example.org if your organization plans on testifying.
December 9 @ 11 am - Committee on Civil Service and Labor (details)
Oversight - The State of Labor in the Era of COVID-19
December 9 @ 1 pm - Committee on Public Housing (details)
Oversight - RAD/PACT and NYCHA’s “Blueprint for Change” Plan
December 11 @ 10 am - Committee on Higher Education (details)
Oversight - Status of Nursing Programs at the City University of New York
December 11 @ 10 am - Committee on Government Operations (details)
Oversight - Ranked Choice Voting (RCV) Implementation in NYC.
December 14 @ 10 am - Committees on Aging and Immigration (details)
Oversight - Older Adult Immigrant Population
December 16 @ 10 am - Committee on Contracts (details)
Oversight - Review of Agency Compliance with Local Law 63 of 2011 Requiring Cost-Benefit Analyses of Displacement of City Workers in Solicitations for Certain Contracts
NYCETC Welcomes Two New Team Members
Stephanie Birmingham joins NYCETC as the Senior Manager of Community and Research and brings over a decade of experience in New York City’s arts and culture sector. In her new capacity, Stephanie will oversee the membership business unit. Working as a direct support for members, she aims to ensure quality experience and high satisfaction among a diverse and inclusive community.
Prior to joining NYCETC Stephanie was the Senior Membership Manager at the Whitney Museum of American Art. During her tenure the museum’s membership saw exponential growth, and she established operations central to the opening of the Whitney’s new building in 2015. Stephanie has additionally taught classes at community colleges and has worked extensively in the service industry.
Stephanie has a Bachelor's Degree in Fine Arts from Florida State University and a Master’s Degree in Fine Arts from the University of North Carolina.
James A. Parrott is Director of Economic and Fiscal Policies at the Center for New York City Affairs at The New School.
Parrott’s recent research focuses on the ongoing economic impact of the Covid-19 crisis in New York City, and an analysis of the magnitude of gig and other low-paid independent contract work in New York State. Parrott co-authored, along with UC Berkeley’s Michael Reich, the policy analysis report supporting the first-in-the-nation minimum pay standard for app-dispatched drivers in New York City and a similar study for the City of Seattle. Other recent work includes an account of how starting pay salary parity was achieved in 2019 in NYC’s early childhood education sector and an analysis of NYS’s workers’ compensation system.
He also recently served on the New York City Advisory Commission on Property Tax Reform. He has a bachelor’s degree from Illinois Wesleyan University and a master’s and Ph.D. in economics from the University of Massachusetts.
Mayoral Fireside Chat Series Videos
Before the Thanksgiving holiday, we spoke with Maya Wiley in our series of 2021 Mayoral Candidate Fireside Chats, where we hear about each candidate’s plans if elected to the office of NYC Mayor, and the role of the workforce development community here in New York City.
LinkedIn Trainings for NYCETC Members and Partners
LinkedIn 101: Training for Career Counselors / Wednesday, December 2 / 12 pm / Info & RSVP
LinkedIn 201: Helping Your Clients Standout to Recruiters / Thursday, December 3 / 12 pm / Info & RSVP
LinkedIn 202: Using LinkedIn for Business Services Outreach / Tuesday, December 8 / 12 pm / Info & RSVP
LinkedIn Mythbusters / Thursday, December 10 / 12 pm / Info & RSVP
2020 Best Nonprofit Conference
December 7 - 8 / Info & RSVP
Young Invincibles' State of Young New York
December 8- 10 / Info & RSVP
Reimagining Workplace Protections: A Policy Agenda to Meet the Needs of Independent and Temporary Workers
Wednesday, December 9 / 2 - 3 pm /Info & RSVP
Leveraging Data for Equity in a COVID-19 Economy: Next-Generation Labor Market Information
Wednesday, December 9 / 3 - 4 pm / Info & RSVP
NYC Workforce Development Board Quarterly Meeting Thursday, December 10 / 8:30 - 10:30 am / Link to Attend The agenda will include an update on the Board’s strategies for championing “high road” employer practices and for advancing racial equity among NYC businesses.
Kasirer Reimagining New York City webinar series: Queens Borough President-elect Donovan Richards Jr.
Thursday, December 10 / 11 am - 12 pm
RSVP and send your questions for the Queens BP-elect to Mike Braun at email@example.com
Supporting NYC's Immigrant Arts Ecosystem in a Time of Crisis
Friday, December 11 / 10am - 12 pm / Info & RSVP
2020 Immigrant Economic Integration Virtual Summit
December 14 - 17 / Info & RSVP
Pandemic Planning Toolkit Training for Human Services Providers Tuesday, December 15 / 8:30 - 10 am / Info & RSVP
Moving Beyond Gratitude: Opportunities to Improve Essential Work Tuesday, December 15 / 2 - 3:15 pm / Info & RSVP
Best Practices for Diversifying Talent in Tech within the COVID Context Tuesday, December 15 / 6 - 7 pm / Info & RSVP
Preparation Meets Opportunity - Helping 16 to 24 year-olds navigate a post-COVID economy: Promising practices from a CBO-Community College workforce partnership Wednesday, December 16 / 12:30 am / Info & RSVP
New NYS Tax Filing Requirements for Nonprofits
Wednesday, December 16 / 1 - 2:30 pm / Info & RSVP
Women Run Businesses Using Tech to Create Stronger NYC Tuesday, January 12 / 6 - 7 pm / Info & RSVP
Please send updated program schedule and communications for employment and training programs to firstname.lastname@example.org
The City College of New York
Online/Hybrid Certified Billing & Coding Specialist: CCNY CPS is offering our Online Medical Billing & Coding course beginning tomorrow! Late registration is available for this class. If you need more time to register, email us to request a deadline extension. Info and registration
SUNY Queens EOC
The SUNY Queens EOC remains fully operational and continues to provide tuition-free academic preparation online (remote) classes and career training. The Queens EOC is currently accepting applications for its Spring 2021 semester at www.queenseoc.net Seats are limited.
KindWork x BWI: Customer Experience Fellowship
6-week, full-time, remote training program for young adults (ages 20-26) seeking an entry point to the tech sector. Students will learn the skills needed to work as a Customer Experience or Customer Support Specialist at a tech-enabled company. This is a great entry-level role with lots of growth potential. Graduates will be provided with job placement support and one year of career coaching. Recent program graduates are thriving in full-time CX roles at companies like Google, Capsule, Revel, Great Jones, and Justworks. Now accepting applications for the next cohort beginning in January 2021. More info here.
The Grace Institute’s employer-driven workforce virtual training programs help women develop the professional skills employers have identified as being needed by today’s administrative and customer service professionals. Grace offers two programs starting on February 1st, 2021: 10-week Virtual Administrative Professional Program and 8-week Virtual Patient Service Representative Program. Learn more and apply here.
Cypress Hills Local Development Corporation
Recruiting young adults between the ages of 18-24 for its Careers That Care health sector training programs. In addition to the Certified Nursing Assistant (CNA) program provided through CUNY Kingsborough, Cypress Hills Local Development Corporation has also partnered with Royal Learning Institute to provide additional trainings for high demand health/medical sector careers including: EKG Technician, Certified Nursing Assistant (CNA), Medical Billing and Coding, Pharmacy Assistant, Phlebotomy Technician. Candidates must have a high school diploma or an HSE. See flyer for information and complete this interest form.
Project Renewal is hosting info sessions from November 30 to December 4 for its next cohort for its Next Step Internship Program. This 8-week training program gives participants a combination of classroom and paid on-the-job training in a New York City Homeless shelter or Supportive Housing facility. As part of the program, trainees will gain the knowledge and skills needed to succeed as frontline essential workers in homeless shelters. The training is a combination of virtual instructor-led training and paid internships in homeless shelters. Trainees will have the opportunity to earn industry-recognized credentials and will receive job placement services upon graduation. Trainees must have a High School Diploma or Equivalency. Also must be available to work flexible hours.RSVP for Info Sessions
Currently recruiting for the 13 week virtual mentorship program that assists participants who are un/underemployed gain the tools, skills and resources needed to obtain and maintain employment. Participants receive individualized support from 1 or 2 mentors while learning about career planning, resume writing, interview techniques, networking, LinkedIn, and workplace culture. Participants gain access to a network of thousands of volunteer professionals, mentees, and alumni graduates; as well as, ongoing professional development opportunities and job updates. Program starts on January 5th. To sign up for an info session click here.
Manhattan Educational Opportunity Center (MEOC)
MEOC is offering FREE Career Training programs, including EKG, OSHA 30 Hr. for Construction and Security Officer Training. NYS residents who are 18 or older and who possess a HS Diploma (or its equivalent) can reserve a seat for one of our Virtual Admissions Sessions or apply online directly from either a laptop, tablet or mobile device. Upon completion of programs, students will receive industry certifications that can improve chances of gaining employment. The MEOC is working remotely at this time. Additional updates and information for potential applicants can be found here.
YouthBuild is a 5-month long high school equivalency and vocational training program for NYC young adults between the ages of 17 and 24. YouthBuild will be offered virtually this year. Participants will receive high school equivalency instruction, business skills and entrepreneurship training, employment readiness and life skills classes, and a stiped. Apply here.
Applications for 2021 Adobe Digital Academy are now open, and include scholarships for General Assembly's Software Engineering (SEI), User Experience Design (UXDI), and Data Science Immersive (DSI) courses. Interested applicants should begin their application process by November 6, with applications due on November 13. More details on the application process and flow can be found below.
CUNY School of Professional Studies
Families Forward, a time-limited Office of Child Support Services' (OCSS) workforce development program, is actively recruiting participants who owe child support for its free job training programs. Families Forward is part of a study that includes occupational skills training in several industries: cable installation, construction, cybersecurity, IT Support, transportation, and woodworking. Job placement and advancement, financial counseling, and child support navigation services are available to participants. All training programs are full-time and meet Monday through Friday. Visit ffnewyork.mdrc.org for additional information, or contact at FFD@dfa.state.ny.us or 929-221-5015.
St. Nicks Alliance - Financial Service Training Requirements include: At least 6 months customer service experience, cash handling experience is a plus, and an HSE is required. Bilingual English/Spanish is a plus. See flyer for info.
- Pre-HSE classes: Mon-Thurs remote daytime schedule (synchronous and asynchronous); $150 weekly stipend for 20 weeks
- HSE classes: Mon-Thurs remote daytime schedule (synchronous and asynchronous); $15/hour paid internships for up to 250 hours
- Advanced Training classes: Mon-Fri hybrid daytime schedule (synchronous); $15/hour paid internships for up to 250 hours
The HOPE Program
Currently offering two remote career training programs that provide job placements in various different industries such as construction, maintenance, food service, clerical work, customer service, retail, and many other industries. HOPE is also offering industry certifications such as OSHA-10, OSHA-30, flagger, scaffolding, drug and alcohol awareness, fall prevention, and more. Interested candidates can attend a virtual information session via Zoom that HOPE holds every Tuesday and Thursday at 1PM to learn more about the program and apply.
Building Skills NY
BSNY is currently virtually recruiting candidates for full-time entry level construction jobs throughout NYC. Candidates that meet BSNY minimum requirements are invited to complete an application online to begin the process and receive an invitation to an upcoming virtual recruitment event. BSNY holds virtual events on Mondays and Thursdays at 6:30AM via Zoom. More infohere and upcoming events here.
CUNY School of Professional Studies
The Career Development Center at the Early Childhood Institute is committed to facilitating the connection between early childhood educators and programs serving young children and their families, especially during this time of uncertainty. Early childhood programs in need of teachers and support staff can learn more here, and early childhood educators or a recent graduates looking for work can learn more here.
NYC Adult Literacy Programs Accepting New Students
See full list here. Request to be added by completing this form.
The Actors Fund
The Career Center offers a comprehensive suite of online programs and services that help entertainment industry and performing arts professionals identify and find sideline work and discover new careers outside the industry. See workshop calendar.
Nontraditional Employment for Women
Nontraditional Employment for Women is now conducting information sessions on-line! Every Monday at 6pm and Tuesday at 10am. Register for an info session. Requirements include: eligible to work in the US; HS Diploma or HSE; interested in hands-on training to join a career path in the construction field.
Upwardly Global - Immigrant Professionals Employment Program Upwardly Global supports Immigrant and Refugee New Yorkers to navigate the U.S. professional job search process through a free online Job Search Training Program, customized job coaching, invitations to network and practice interviewing with our employer partners, access to reskilling and training opportunities, and more. Currently all services are provided virtually. More Info